Abrupt climate change : inevitable surprises / Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies Board, Polar Research Board, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council.
2002
QC981.8.C5 A26 2002eb
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Details
Title
Abrupt climate change : inevitable surprises / Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies Board, Polar Research Board, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council.
ISBN
0309512840 (electronic bk.)
9780309512848 (electronic bk.)
1280184728
9781280184727
6610184720
9786610184729
0309074347
9780309074346
0309133041
9780309133043
9780309512848 (electronic bk.)
1280184728
9781280184727
6610184720
9786610184729
0309074347
9780309074346
0309133041
9780309133043
Imprint
Washington, D.C. : National Academy Press, 2002.
Language
English
Language Note
English.
Description
1 online resource (xii, 230 pages) : illustrations (some color), maps (some color)
Call Number
QC981.8.C5 A26 2002eb
System Control No.
(OCoLC)52822377
Summary
The climate record for the past 100,000 years clearly indicates that the climate system has undergone periodic--and often extreme--shifts, sometimes in as little as a decade or less. The causes of abrupt climate changes have not been clearly established, but the triggering of events is likely to be the result of multiple natural processes. Abrupt climate changes of the magnitude seen in the past would have far-reaching implications for human society and ecosystems, including major impacts on energy consumption and water supply demands. Could such a change happen again? Are human activities exacerbating the likelihood of abrupt climate change? What are the potential societal consequences of such a change? Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises looks at the current scientific evidence and theoretical understanding to describe what is currently known about abrupt climate change, including patterns and magnitudes, mechanisms, and probability of occurrence. It identifies critical knowledge gaps concerning the potential for future abrupt changes, including those aspects of change most important to society and economies, and outlines a research strategy to close those gaps. Based on the best and most current research available, this book surveys the history of climate change and makes a series of specific recommendations for the future.
Bibliography, etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Formatted Contents Note
INTRODUCTION TO ABRUPT CHANGES IN THE EARTH'S CLIMATE
Definition of Abrupt Climate Change
Scientific Evidence, Processes, and Consequences for Society and Ecosystems
The Charge to the Committee
EVIDENCE OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
Interpretation of Past Climatic Conditions from Proxy Records
The Younger Dryas as an Example of Abrupt Climate Change
Abrupt Climate Changes Before the Younger Dryas Event
Eemian Rapid Climate Change
Holocene Rapid Climate Change
Rapid Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period
Patterns of Climate Variability
Trends Recorded Instrumentally
Synopsis of Observations
PROCESSES THAT CAUSE ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
An Overview of Mechanisms
Atmosphere
Abrupt Climate Change and Thermohaline Circulation
GLOBAL WARMING AS A POSSIBLE TRIGGER FOR ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
Changes in North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation
Limited Predictability Close to an Instability
Changes in Natural Modes of the Atmosphere-Ocean System
Possible Future Abrupt Changes in the Hydrological Cycle
Ice Sheet Changes
Outlook
ECONOMIC AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
Recent Scientific Studies in the Ecological and Social Sciences
Sectoral Approaches
Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change
FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to Abrupt Climate Change
Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change
Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change
Improve Statistical Approaches
Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability
Final Thoughts.
Definition of Abrupt Climate Change
Scientific Evidence, Processes, and Consequences for Society and Ecosystems
The Charge to the Committee
EVIDENCE OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
Interpretation of Past Climatic Conditions from Proxy Records
The Younger Dryas as an Example of Abrupt Climate Change
Abrupt Climate Changes Before the Younger Dryas Event
Eemian Rapid Climate Change
Holocene Rapid Climate Change
Rapid Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period
Patterns of Climate Variability
Trends Recorded Instrumentally
Synopsis of Observations
PROCESSES THAT CAUSE ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
An Overview of Mechanisms
Atmosphere
Abrupt Climate Change and Thermohaline Circulation
GLOBAL WARMING AS A POSSIBLE TRIGGER FOR ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
Changes in North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation
Limited Predictability Close to an Instability
Changes in Natural Modes of the Atmosphere-Ocean System
Possible Future Abrupt Changes in the Hydrological Cycle
Ice Sheet Changes
Outlook
ECONOMIC AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE
Recent Scientific Studies in the Ecological and Social Sciences
Sectoral Approaches
Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change
FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to Abrupt Climate Change
Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change
Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change
Improve Statistical Approaches
Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability
Final Thoughts.
Digital File Characteristics
data file
Source of Description
Print version record.
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Print version: Abrupt climate change. Washington, D.C. : National Academy Press, 2002
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